Winning a match at away for any team is often a very difficult task, that consequently requires strong commitment,confidence as well as being at their best, in other to be able to break the defensive resilience of the opponent to score goals.
So, to predict that a team will win at away in any match under consideration, your focus should be to find the abstraction to assert that the visiting team in the encounter under consideration is very committed, confident, and at their best, and also that they have a considerable number of players with power and pace, that can score goals compared to their opponent.
To assert that a team possesses this attributes in any encounter under consideration, the first thing to do is to profile the teams that will play.
A simple way to do this, is to assess the character, goal and the quality of it’s players.
Firmness of purpose is one of the most necessary sinews of character, so for a great contrast, first find out their status and what they have achieved or are aiming to accomplish.
By asking and answering the following questions:
One, whether the team has just been promoted or just been relegated.
Two, whether the team is playing in their second season after promotion or whether they are playing in the second season after relegation.
Three, whether the team is playing in their third season after promotion or whether they are playing in their third season after relegation.
Four, whether the team is playing in their fourth season after promotion or whether they are playing in their fourth season after relegation.
Five, whether the team is a current title holder or whether they were the previous title holder.
Next, is to assess where the team finished on the league table in their previous campaign, and what they tried to accomplish, relative to expectation, e.g to win a title, gain promotion or maintain their league status, with a view to assert that they are either cold or hot.
There are several criteria and situations that you can use to determines whether a team is cold or hot:
1. Situation where their achievement is greater than their aspiration level.
2. Situation where their achievement is less than their aspiration level.
3. Situation where their achievement is just in line with their aspiration level.
It’s very important to note that in situations, where their achievement is less than their aspiration level, teams tends to be unsatisfied, and consequently, reset their aspiration level higher.
And very well too, in situation when their achievement is greater than their aspiration level, teams tends to be satisfied, and consequently, raise their aspiration level up-ward.
It is also worthy to note that in league football in particular, to be satisfied without raising aspiration level is a sure sign that progress is about to end, and this is because aspiration is what fuels the furnace of achievement.
Another important thing to know also, is that in league football teams have different aspiration level in keeping with the need to achieve goals, e.g to win a title, gain promotion or maintain their league status, and these aspiration levels, consequently differentiate superior teams from mediocre.
And as a matter of fact, teams that have high aspiration worthy of getting excited about possess the advantage of it, exacting an enormous pull on them.
So with these in mind, to conclude your profiling simply assess and rate teams with bigger and clearer aspiration higher than those with moderately challenging goals.
The reasons are as follows:
One, teams with bigger and clearer aspiration by contrast make higher emotional commitment to do their best to succeed.
Two, teams with bigger and clearer aspiration by contrast believe more that they can influence the outcome of their goals, by actively working to reach them.
Three, teams with bigger and clearer aspiration by contrast feel more energized and resilient in coping with unexpected challenges and this is a powerful advantage.
Four, teams with bigger and clearer aspiration by contrast are more committed and do get better in their campaign, because they have something to build on.
Five, teams with bigger and clearer aspiration by contrast are much more capable of evaluating their performance in the present to ensure that it is consistent with where they truly want to end up.
Having gone through with profiling the team, the next step is to assess the squad the visiting side will feature, with a view to assert that the visiting side has more quality players than their opponent.
It’s worthy to note that players quality is key to what a team could possibly accomplish in a match, as well as in how a match would go.
To gain insight on this, the initiative is to follow – up on the teams announcement and team’s sheet.
First and foremost, the team sheet would give you an indication as to whether a manager is playing his best team, and whether there are players out through injury or whether a manager is saving players for a more important match.
As a match evolves in different ways and is characterized by tension, emotion or polarization, and teams that are well managed yield positive results when their players are well vested in their position.
The initiative is to assess the quality of players the side possesses, by looking at how many players they have on the top goal scorer list, and to consequently follow – up on the teams announcement to know whether they will featured.
Another initiative is to compare their ball possession, ability to score as well as defend, relative to that of their opponent, or relative to their previous campaign, with a view to assert that the team has a good number of players that are consistent and more hungry to score goals than they previously did.
Given the fact that it is hard to do damage with a one man squad, against a home team that plays defense very well, what you should assert is that the visiting team has at least two or more top goal scorers that are comparatively consistent than the players that the home side possesses and will feature.
After these the next step is to assess the encounter under consideration with a view to identify factors that could bring about a shift in balance in favor of the visiting team such as:
One, factors that could likely make the visiting team more desperate.
Two, factors that could likely foster or trigger the propensity of visiting team’s players to want to score more goals.
Three, factors that could potentially trigger high level performance.
A simple way to assert that the visiting team could possibly get very desperate, is to look at where the team is on the league table, with a view to spot signs of pressure build up arising from the possibility of a lose resulting to being displaced on points from a very important position or from being displaced by their opponent.
Another way to assert that the visiting team could possibly get very desperate, is to evaluate the priority of the team, in terms of how important winning the match is to achieving their goal or aspiration, by looking at the timing of the encounter, vs-a-viz the situation and circumstance under which both team will play, with a view to assert that it coincides with outside events that could have an effect on overall performance.
Another way is to assert that the visiting team could possibly get very desperate, is to see if they lost their last corresponding meeting or have just lost their last home game before the match at hand.
Having gone through these assessment, next is to put the probability of the visiting side winning into perspective,
One, by juxtaposing your assessments with the psychological pressure build up arising from the outcome of their recent home and away matches, with a view to assert that the visiting team is consequently more motivated and at the same time in a more desperate position for points.
Two, by juxtaposing your evaluation with the form and status of the home team, with a view to assert that the visiting team is consequently in better form than it’s opponent.
Three, by juxtaposing your evaluation with the level of confidence that the home team is likely to bring to bear on the match, with a view to assert that the visiting team is consequently more confident than it’s opponent.
A simple way to do this, is to look at how many games the visiting team has won, drawn and lost, with a view to spot tale sign of winning streak.
It’s important to note that winning streak put teams in control of their circumstance and bring rewards that perpetuate more winning.
What makes winning streak even more dramatic is that teams on winning streak can be counted on to shape events, because they stay in game no matter what.
Another simple way to do this, is to look at their previous meeting result to see if there are pattern in success rate, positive cycles or streak that can create momentum for success, pride and enthusiasm to do something new.